The discrete-time fundamental theorem of asset pricing supplies a strictly positive martingale deflator . Since the maturity- bond pays one unit at , its deflated price is a martingale:
Division by gives the formula.
The proposed variable satisfies
No arbitrage and the fundamental theorem of asset pricing provide a strictly positive one-period deflator with . Part c makes such a deflator unique in a complete market, so almost surely.
The one-period fundamental theorem of asset pricing, applied as a separating-hyperplane theorem to the cone of attainable payoffs, gives the superhedging duality
where the supremum is over martingale deflators. The assumed strict inequalities make the right side strictly below . Hence some satisfies and almost surely.
The European call option with strike pays at terminal stock prices . Its lower-node value is zero, while its upper-node value is
A second step of backward option pricing gives
By the fundamental theorem of asset pricing, this discounted expectation under the unique risk-neutral probabilities is the unique no-arbitrage price.
The fundamental theorem of asset pricing says, in this discrete-time formulation, that the market has no arbitrage if and only if it admits a strictly positive martingale deflator. Under a chosen positive numeraire this is equivalent to the existence of an equivalent martingale measure for numeraire-discounted gains.
Let be a martingale deflator for the original arbitrage-free market. Part b shows that
is a local martingale. Thus also deflates the gains of the added asset whose price and dividend are . It already deflates the original assets, so it is a martingale deflator for the enlarged market. The fundamental theorem of asset pricing implies that the enlarged market has no arbitrage. This expresses the fact that adding a dynamically replicated asset cannot create an arbitrage.
The cash-discounted stock is a positive continuous local martingale, because its dynamics contain no drift. Applying Itô formula to , the displayed partial differential equation cancels its drift exactly, leaving another local martingale. Since is bounded, is in fact a true martingale.
Thus the physical measure itself is an equivalent local martingale measure relative to cash for all three traded assets. The continuous-time fundamental theorem of asset pricing rules out arbitrage, more precisely no free lunch with vanishing risk, in the usual admissible class.
In discounted terms, an arbitrage is a portfolio with zero initial value whose terminal payoff is nonnegative in every state and strictly positive with positive probability. A risk-neutral measure is a probability measure equivalent to the physical measure under which every discounted asset price is a martingale. The one-period fundamental theorem of asset pricing says that a finite one-period market is arbitrage-free exactly when it has a risk-neutral measure.
A European call option with maturity and strike pays
at time . Let be the risk-neutral conditional probability of the factor . The discounted stock must be a martingale, so
and therefore
Both probabilities are strictly positive. At every node these are the unique probabilities satisfying the martingale condition, so the fundamental theorem of asset pricing gives a unique no-arbitrage price.
If exactly of the moves use the factor , then
and there are such paths. Discounted risk-neutral expectation now gives
where
With zero interest rate, the bank account is constant. The risky asset is a continuous local martingale by assumption, while the European contingent claim price
is a true martingale by the defining property of conditional expectation. Thus the original probability measure is an equivalent local martingale measure for all traded discounted prices. The fundamental theorem of asset pricing then excludes arbitrage for admissible self-financing strategies.
Let be positive definite. Market completeness restricts each parent atom to at most successors, while positive definiteness forces exactly independent successor price vectors. The positive martingale deflator supplied by the fundamental theorem of asset pricing then has the unique one-step ratio . Its product deflates the prices into martingales.