Equivalent local martingale measure Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
An equivalent local martingale measure makes every discounted asset price a local martingale. In continuous-time markets this is the usual measure appearing in the no-free-lunch-with-vanishing-risk form of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2010 ii Paper 3 29I Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2013 iii Paper 39 5 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Construct the strictly positive rolling one-period bond account using successive one-period zero-coupon bonds:At time , invest the entire account value in the bond maturing at . This gives a positive self-financing portfolio usable as a numéraire.
We use the finite-discrete-time fundamental theorem of asset pricing: in a frictionless market with finitely many adapted assets and trading dates, no arbitrage is equivalent to existence of an equivalent martingale measure for asset prices, including dividends, expressed in a positive traded numéraire. Maturing bond payoffs are reinvested in that numéraire. Let be such a measure and its positive density process. The martingale pricing relation for a unit zero-coupon bond isDefine . The Bayes formula for conditional expectation then givesThe positive expectations are finite because these are the traded finite bond prices; in particular when initial information is trivial. Normalize without changing any ratio. With nontrivial initial information the same identities are conditional on that information. The state-price density need not be unique when the bond market is incomplete; existence is sufficient.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 38 4 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Use zero-interest cash as the one-period numéraire, consistent with the stated expectation-price formula. For , differentiate the proposed call-price curve twice. The first derivative and the candidate density areThis is the power call-curve pricing density. It is strictly positive. Its integral is , and its survival function is . Since and ,Likewise, integrating the survival function from onwards givesThus a market whose terminal stock has this law under an equivalent martingale measure prices the stock at one, every proposed call at , and any integrable claim at . The finite-market fundamental theorem of asset pricing says that an equivalent measure pricing every traded discounted payoff by expectation excludes arbitrage. This proves the intended conclusion when such an equivalent pricing law is part of the model. For example, take the canonical terminal state space with stock equal to its coordinate and physical law equivalent to the positive density .
There is, however, a genuine insufficiency in the literal finite-strike formulation: a finite list of call prices and no-arbitrage alone do not force this pricing law, nor even a continuous terminal distribution. Here is an explicit counterexample. Take , one strike , and two terminal stock valuesGive the lower stock value the remaining strictly positive probability and take this as the physical measure too. Direct calculation gives andso the stock/cash/call market is arbitrage-free. Now letThis bounded nonnegative function is zero at both actual stock values, so almost surely. Yet . Charging that positive amount for the identically zero payoff creates an arbitrage by selling it. In fact no Lebesgue probability density can price every claim correctly on this two-state market.
Therefore the displayed is the intended continuous pricing density, but the promised no-arbitrage extension requires an equivalent pricing measure with this terminal law; a full call curve identifies that law if such a measure exists, but it does not follow from the printed finite-strike hypotheses alone. This is the finite-strike nonidentification of a pricing density. The counterexample and the corrected sufficient hypothesis account for the literal and intended readings separately.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 iii Paper 40 2 a 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
A direct exponential minimization construction of a bounded pricing kernel proves the reverse implication without using a course theorem. ConsiderBoundedness of makes finite, continuous, and differentiable. On every bounded set of , the exponential and its derivatives have deterministic bounds, so differentiation under expectation is justified.
We first prove coercivity: as . Otherwise there would be a sequence with along which stays bounded above. Pass to a subsequence with , . There are two cases.
If , choose with . The bound on gives on this event for all large . ThereforeIf instead almost surely, the portfolio condition forces , since . Hence , and the nonnegative exponential term again forces . Both cases contradict the chosen sequence.
A minimizing sequence is consequently bounded. It has a convergent subsequence, and continuity of gives a global minimizer . At a minimizer each directional derivative vanishes, soThusIf , then : the constructed pricing kernel is bounded and even bounded away from zero. The compactness, coercivity, and differentiation arguments above supply the needed proof rather than appealing to the fundamental theorem of asset pricing.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 iii Paper 40 3 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Use the conditional second-moment matrix from the PDF. By part (b), the filtration is finite-state at every finite time. On a time- atom let be the successor price vectors and their conditional probabilities. Then andPositive definiteness gives rank , so . Hence , and the successor vectors have linear independence.
We use the finite-horizon fundamental theorem of asset pricing in deflator form: an arbitrage-free finite market admits a strictly positive adapted process , with , such that is a martingale. Equivalently, on every step,Fix a finite horizon containing the step in question. On the parent atom, write on successor and . ThenThe proposed values satisfy precisely the same equation:Because the have linear independence and the are positive, this linear system has a unique solution. Thus , provingThis is the positive regression deflator in a complete finite market. It also proves the suggested conclusion: with and ,Hence is a strictly positive martingale deflator. Finite-state structure makes these expectations integrable on each finite horizon. Positive definiteness alone would not ensure positivity of the regression factor; market completeness and the positive deflator are essential.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 ii Paper 3 27J a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-05
For a finite-state, finite-horizon discrete-time frictionless market with a strictly positive numéraire, the fundamental theorem of asset pricing states no arbitrage if and only if there exists an equivalent martingale measure under which all discounted asset prices are martingales. Equivalence means the same null events as the physical measure. In this setting market completeness is equivalent to uniqueness of the equivalent martingale measure, and a replicable payoff has price . Without finite-state hypotheses, stronger integrability and closure conditions are needed; this is the standard multi-period course version.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 iii Paper 211 5 c Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-05
Assume the usual positive initial stock price and strike, so the logarithm is defined, and interpret as a classical solution of the displayed partial differential equation. For a fixed complex , put , defining . The Itô formula for the two Brownian motions with correlation coefficient givesThe partial differential equation cancels the entire drift. By the permission to treat the resulting local martingales as true martingales, and the terminal condition, .
The bounded spot volatility ensures : the Itô formula for a real power and localization bound its moment by . Rewrite the proposed integrand asNow , an integrable bound independent of . Conditional Fubini's theorem and part (b) therefore implyThis route justifies the contour exchange without assuming bounds on uniform in all complex . Cash is constant, is a true martingale under the stated allowance, and the displayed is a true martingale. The original measure is thus an equivalent martingale measure for all three assets. The fundamental theorem of asset pricing gives the market has no arbitrage under the usual admissible trading convention.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 ii Paper 3 29K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
The finite-horizon discrete-time fundamental theorem of asset pricing states that the market has no arbitrage if and only if there exists a probability measure equivalent to under which every integrable discounted asset price is a martingale. Such a is an equivalent martingale measure.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 iii Paper 211 6 a Solution 2026-10-03
Apply the multidimensional Itô formula to . The stated PDE cancels its drift to , leavingConsequently and are local martingales under the physical measure . Thus itself is an equivalent local martingale measure for the augmented market relative to the bank account. The continuous-time fundamental theorem of asset pricing says that existence of such a measure for locally bounded prices implies no free lunch with vanishing risk, and hence no arbitrage. The terminal condition also gives as required.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 2 29K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
The fundamental theorem of asset pricing for a finite discrete-time market states that the market is free of arbitrage if and only if it admits an equivalent martingale measure. Subject to the usual finite-market hypotheses, the arbitrage-free market is complete if and only if that measure is unique.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2019 ii Paper 2 29K c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Define a new probability measure by the strictly positive Radon-Nikodym derivativeThe moment-generating function of a normal distribution shows that this density has expectation one, so is a probability measure equivalent to . Moreover,Thus the discounted risky asset is a one-period -martingale. The fundamental theorem of asset pricing implies that there is no arbitrage.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ii Paper 2 29K iv Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
There is no arbitrage. Indeed, part (iii) supplies an equivalent martingale measure, so the fundamental theorem of asset pricing implies absence of arbitrage. Directly, the discounted terminal value of a zero-cost admissible self-financing strategy is a -martingale with mean zero; it cannot be nonnegative almost surely and positive with positive probability.