John von Neumann 2026-10-24
A mathematician whose work includes the minimax theorem and, with Oskar Morgenstern, the foundations of expected utility and game theory.
Figure 1.
Portrait of John von Neumann
. Portrait credited to wikispaces in the Wikimedia Commons file record. CC BY-SA 3.0. Source.
Oskar Morgenstern 2026-10-25
Figure 1.
Historical portrait crop of Oskar Morgenstern
. Anonymous photograph, University of the Andes, Colombia; existing Commons crop from its 1954–1955 bulletin group photograph. The source crop is only 48 by 74 pixels. Source.
For a finite outcome space, complete lottery preferences, a transitive relation, continuity of lottery preferences and the independence axiom for lottery preferences are equivalent to an expected utility representation of the displayed form. The representing outcome utility function is unique up to a positive affine function. The theorem is associated with John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern.
A useful proof construction selects a best outcome and a worst outcome . If all outcomes are indifferent, a constant utility function suffices. Otherwise assign , . Continuity of lottery preferences makes each outcome indifferent to a mixture , and mixture monotonicity makes the coefficient unique. Substitution of indifferent lotteries and reduction of compound lotteries turn any lottery into a best–worst mixture with best-outcome probability . Mixture monotonicity then ranks all such mixtures. The reverse direction follows by taking expected values; positive affine functions preserve every comparison.[ref]