Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2006 / iii / Paper 39 / 5

Let $T=t_0$, $\tau =T-t$, $x=S_t>0$, and $\sigma >0$. Use a dividend-free Black-Scholes model with constant interest rate $\rho$. The terminal payoff is assumed independent of the parameters being varied. In addition to twice differentiability, impose enough integrability to differentiate the pricing formula; for example, $f,f^{\prime },f^{\prime \prime }$ of polynomial growth suffice. Twice differentiability alone is not enough: the smooth payoff $f(x)=e^{x^2}$ has infinite expectation under every nondegenerate lognormal distribution.

Under the risk-neutral measure $Q$, future stock values conditional on $S_t=x$ have the formClaim replication, or equivalently the martingale property of discounted value in the complete market, givesThe replicating strategy holds the option delta $p_x$ shares and bank-account value $\beta =p-x{p}_x$. No physical drift parameter appears: the Girsanov theorem replaces the physical drift by $\rho$ under the pricing measure, and the replication argument cancels it directly. The risk-neutral pricing operator is linear in the payoff and preserves pointwise payoff inequalities.

Here is a verification of the Black-Scholes equation using the integral itself. Differentiation in spot givesDifferentiating with respect to $\tau$ givesFor $G(Z)=S_T{f}^{\prime }(S_T)$, the Gaussian integration by parts identity $\mathbb{E}[ZG]=\mathbb{E}[G^{\prime }]$ yieldsSubstitution cancels the $-{\sigma }^2/2$ term and provesSince $p_t=-p_{\tau }$, this is precisely the Black-Scholes equation. As $\tau \downarrow 0$, $M\to 1$ and growth control permits passage to the limit, giving $p(x,T)=f(x)$. The delta hedge then supplies the admissible replicating gains under the same regularity assumptions.

The Black-Scholes parameter sensitivities describe the dependence on the model parameters without assuming a particular payoff. If $f$ is increasing, then $p_x\ge 0$. If $f$ is convex, then $p_{xx}\ge 0$, so its price is convex in spot. The option gamma $p_{xx}$ measures the response of the option delta to spot changes.

For the interest rate, the distribution of the future stock also changes with $\rho$, so looking only at discounting gives the wrong general answer. Differentiation gives the option rhoThus a short bank-account position gives positive rate sensitivity, while a positive bank-account position gives negative rate sensitivity. For a cash payoff the result is negative; for the payoff $f(x)=x$ it is zero.

For spot volatility, differentiate the lognormal multiplier and then use Gaussian integration by parts:Consequently a convex payoff has nonnegative option vega. This monotonicity can also be understood by a mean-preserving increase of dispersion in the discounted stock. Strict positivity requires nonzero curvature seen with positive probability; an affine payoff has zero option vega.

Time enters through the remaining maturity $\tau$. Holding spot fixed, the Black-Scholes equation givesUnder the conventional assumption $\rho \ge 0$, a convex payoff and a short bond position $\beta <0$ imply $p_t\le 0$. The inequality is strict if $\rho >0$, or if $p_{xx}>0$ with positive volatility. Thus the price at fixed stock value is nonincreasing in calendar time, and nondecreasing in maturity, under these hypotheses. It is not a claim that the realized stochastic price path decreases: that path still has Brownian exposure $\sigma S_t{p}_{x}d{W}_t^Q$.

The printed conclusion needs the nonnegative-rate qualification; it is false for arbitrary negative rates. For $K>0$, the twice-differentiable convex payoff $f(x)=x-K$ hasThis is an exact counterexample, not a failure of the pricing formula. Also, with $\rho =0$ and an affine payoff, “decreasing” can only mean nonincreasing. Without payoff monotonicity or the specified bond-position sign, neither the spot nor rate nor time sensitivity has a universal sign. Any additional payoff parameter, such as a strike, is differentiated through $f$; pointwise payoff ordering, rather than a generic parameter rule, determines its price effect.