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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2010 / iii / Paper 28 / 1 / c / i

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2010 iii Paper 28 1 c
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i
The increments have expected value p−q<0. The strong law of large numbers for independent and identically distributed random variables with finite absolute mean gives
nSn​​⟶p−q<0almost surely.
(1)
Hence Sn​→−∞. Since q/p>1,
Zn​=(q/p)Sn​⟶0almost surely.​
(2)
Its expected value nevertheless stays equal to one. Thus this martingale is not uniformly integrable, and it does not converge to zero in L1. This distinction will be avoided in part (ii) by stopping at an upper level, which makes the stopped process bounded.

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