Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2016 / iii / Paper 211 / 4 / b / Solution

Under the usual no-arbitrage interpretation from part (a), let $Q^N$ be an equivalent martingale measure for the strictly positive numéraire $N$. Then $M_t=S_t/N_t$ is a martingale. Define the discounted European call option payoff $Y_t=(S_t-K{)}^{+}/N_t=(M_t-K/N_t{)}^{+}$. Because $N_{t+1}\ge N_t$ and $K>0$, we have $K/N_{t+1}\le K/N_t$. The conditional Jensen inequality therefore givesFor the middle step, the strike $K/N_t$ is fixed conditionally on ${\mathcal{F}}_t$; alternatively use $\mathbb{E}[X^{+}\mid {\mathcal{F}}_t]\ge \max \{\mathbb{E}[X\mid {\mathcal{F}}_t],0\}$. Thus $Y$ is a submartingale. Risk-neutral valuation in units of $N$ gives $C(T,K)=N_0{\mathbb{E}}^{Q^N}{Y}_T$, with the usual fixed initial prices. ConsequentlyThe source's word “increasing” means nondecreasing: a European call option can have zero payoff at successive maturities, so strict increase is not guaranteed. Integrability is understood in the claim class for which the stated replication prices exist.