Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2016 / iii / Paper 211 / 5 / c

Use the random walk interpretation and optimal stopping value function recursion specified in part (b). If $h$ is convex, translating and integrating its convexity inequality gives, for $0<\theta <1$,Thus the transition operator preserves convex functions. Also the pointwise maximum of convex functions is convex: each of two convex functions at an intermediate point is bounded by the same convex combination of their pointwise maximum at the endpoints. Starting with $V(T,\cdot )=f$, backward induction intherefore proves the asserted convexity in the intended model:The statewise integrability convention in part (b) gives finite convex functions on all real states. The same inequality holds for the canonical extended value function wherever the expectations are well-defined. Integrability only along one started process need not make that canonical function finite at unused states: for $T=1$, $S_0=0$, $f(s)=e^{s^2}$ and increment density proportional to $e^{-y^2-|y|}$, $\mathbb{E}f(S_1)<\infty$, but $\mathbb{E}f(s+Y_1)=\infty$ for $s>1/2$. This concerns the canonical recursion away from visited states, rather than the almost-sure identity for $U$. Arbitrary off-state versions of $V$ need not be convex; the recursive version is the one meant here. No zero-mean assumption on the increments was used, and convexity alone does not make $f(S_t)$ a submartingale for an arbitrary drift.