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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2016 / iii / Paper 322 / 1 / i

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 322 1
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i
At a fixed age, the probability that at least one component is a red giant is 1−(1−g)2=2g−g2. Integrating over the common age in the coeval binary population gives
Pr(at least one G)=∫01​(1002y​−10000y2​)dy=30000299​=0.9966%.​
(1)
This is just under one percent of systems. Squaring the marginal single-star fraction would incorrectly give two independently sampled component ages.

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