Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2017 / iii / Paper 316 / 4 / iv / Solution

Let $\chi =v_{\mathrm{esc}}/v_k$, with $v_k=\sqrt{G{M}_{\star }/a_p}$. The Safronov number is $\Theta ={\chi }^2/2$. In the instantaneous planet frame let the asymptotic vectors be ${\mathbf{u}}_{\mathrm{in}}$ and ${\mathbf{u}}_{\mathrm{out}}$; their magnitudes agree. In the stellar frame the corresponding specific orbital energy change during a short encounter isThe quadratic relative-speed terms cancel. A comet with semi-major axis comparable to $a_p$ has stellar binding energy per unit mass of order $v_k^2/2$. Consequently $\chi$ measures whether a single strong encounter can change a substantial fraction of that binding.

Large escape-to-orbital-speed ratios favour ejection; small ratios favour collision or accretion during repeated encounters. For $\chi \gg 1$, a suitably oriented gravitational assist can eject the comet before it strikes the planet. For $\chi \ll 1$, most individual kicks are too weak; many close passages may be needed, providing repeated chances of collision.

The crossover is of order unity, not a sharp theorem about each orbit. The initial binding energy, encounter speed and geometry matter: an already nearly parabolic comet may be ejected by a low-$\chi$ planet, while an unfavourably directed kick can make a comet more tightly bound even when $\chi$ is large.