A vertical Stern-Gerlach spin measurement is a -spin measurement. The Born rule gives
Thus this measurement cannot distinguish the two preparations, even by repeating the same measurement on many identically prepared copies: it discards their relative-phase difference in this basis.
A horizontal Stern-Gerlach spin measurement measures . The inputs are its orthogonal eigenstates, so
The output beam identifies the input with certainty in a single ideal measurement.
For an axis halfway from toward , let . The Born rule gives
The negative-outcome probabilities are complementary. Both outcomes can occur for both inputs, so one result cannot distinguish them perfectly. Repeated measurements on independently prepared copies distinguish their different statistics with arbitrarily high confidence. Reversing the diagonal direction exchanges the two numbers. This separates single-copy certainty from statistical distinguishability.

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