Annual conversion is reduced by several multiplicative losses. Only roughly 40–50% of incident sunlight lies in the photosynthetically useful visible band. Reflection and transmission prevent complete absorption; the photon budget and unavoidable relaxation losses limit conversion of absorbed radiation into chemical energy. Photosynthesis also has to support respiration and maintenance, while seasonal growth, incomplete canopy cover, water and nutrient limitations reduce the annual harvested yield.
An illustrative loss budget, not a universal biological constant, is 0.45×0.8×0.25×0.5×0.11≃0.005. The factors represent useful spectrum, absorption, photochemical conversion, retained net production, and combined annual interception and growing-condition limitations, respectively. Thus ηannual∼0.5% is plausible for a land-averaged crop yield even though a leaf under favourable illumination can be more efficient. The result depends on crop, climate, harvested fraction and the definition of dry biomass energy. When the input is already annual mean insolation, night-time must not be counted as a second independent loss.
Take an explicitly illustrative European annual mean ground-level irradiance of 100Wm−2, the stated conversion fraction 0.005, and dry carbohydrate heating value 16MJkg−1. One square kilometre then producesHence M∼103tonneskm−2year−1, or about 10tonnesha−1year−1, as a dry-mass order-of-magnitude estimate. The assumed irradiance is not a site-specific value supplied by the paper. The result scales linearly with irradiance and conversion efficiency and inversely with heating value; wet harvested mass would additionally depend on water content.
M=16×106(100)(106)(3.156×107)(0.005)=9.86×105kgyear−1.
Use equal combustion energy as the displacement criterion. The petrol mass and energy areThis needs ethanol mass Me=Qp/(30.5×106)=1.04115×1010kg. The ethanol fermentation stoichiometry converts 180 mass units of glucose to 92 of ethanol, so the ethanol yield per square kilometre is (1500)(92/180)=766.667 tonnes. ThereforeThe carbon mass fraction in octane is 8(12)/(8(12)+18)=96/114. The displaced fossil carbon is thusThis is the ideal net reduction if the crop regrows and its carbon dioxide uptake balances the biogenic carbon released in fermentation and combustion, with negligible additional life-cycle emissions. Ethanol combustion is not carbon-free: it releases about 5.43 million tonnes of carbon here, and fermentation releases further biogenic carbon. Those are balanced by crop uptake in the stated ideal accounting, rather than being ignored. Farming, fertilizer manufacture, processing heat, transport and land-use carbon losses reduce the actual benefit and may even reverse it. The equal-heat calculation also assumes equal useful-energy conversion efficiencies in the displaced application; it does not establish equal engine mileage automatically.
Mp=0.73(1010)=7.3×109kg,Qp=Mp(43.5×106)=3.1755×1017J.
A=766.6671.04115×107≃1.358×104km2.
ΔMC,fossil=7.3×1091149610001=6.15×106tonnes Cyear−1.
Three advantages of biomass energy are:
- Sustainable regrowth can replenish the fuel and recycle its biogenic carbon, unlike depletion of fossil carbon stocks.
- Chemical fuel can be stored and transported, permitting dispatchable heat, electricity or liquid-fuel production rather than requiring use at the instant of sunlight capture.
- Suitable agricultural residues and organic wastes can supply useful energy while recovering value from material that would otherwise need disposal.
Three disadvantages are:
- Dedicated energy crops compete for land and water, potentially displacing food production and damaging biodiversity.
- Low annual areal productivity, bulky feedstock and moisture increase collection, transport, drying and conversion costs.
- Combustion produces local air pollutants, and processing emissions or land-use carbon debt can undermine the claimed climate saving. A life-cycle assessment and a regrowth timescale are necessary; “renewable” alone does not prove low net emissions.
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