Assume dilute, nondegenerate ideal electrons, protons and neutral atoms in thermal and chemical equilibrium, with charge neutrality . Set , using each ideal species' translational factor and hydrogen ground-state binding energy . Neglect excited states and take the heavy proton/atom thermal-wavelength ratio as one. With electron spin and neutral-atom degeneracies treated in the convention of the source, the remaining factor is
Different partition-degeneracy conventions must be propagated consistently. Screening, dense-plasma level dissolution and departures from local thermodynamic equilibrium lie outside this derivation.
For total nuclear density , and . Saha's equation becomes . At ,
The factor two in the exponent follows from taking a square root; using the full ionization temperature would double the predicted logarithmic slope.
Write . Then , giving local slope . At 5000–6000 K its magnitude is about K. The low-ionization tail in the original graph drops roughly one decade per K, consistent with this value.
At K, the graph gives K and . Invert the full equation to get , yielding . The neighboring tail markers give the same order; plotting precision and the squared dependence on the read ionization fraction preclude claiming many significant digits.

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