Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 201 6 e Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Let , where and are independent Poisson processes of rate . This symmetric Poisson difference process is centered, has jumps , and has variance rate . If are positive integers, then exactly. Optional sampling of the martingale givesConsequentlyPart (d) now gives the mean exit time
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 353 4 a i Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 ii Paper 1 28K a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
For ordered times , the joint density together with is . Dividing by gives , exactly the density of uniform order statistics. See Poisson process.
Poisson arrivals see time averages Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-05
The Poisson arrivals see time averages property says that an external Poisson process independent of a stationary system sees the system-state distribution at its arrival times. Thus the fraction of arrivals that accept a state-dependent admission rule is .
Poisson-sampled continuous-time Markov chain 2026-10-03
Sample a finite-state continuous-time Markov chain with generator at the independent arrival times of a rate- Poisson process. The sampled states form a discrete-time Markov chain with transition matrixIts invariant distributions are exactly those of the continuous-time chain.
Poisson superposition of insurance portfolios Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-07
Independent claim Poisson processes of rates merge into a Poisson process of rate , by the Superposition theorem for Poisson point processes. The merged claim law is a mixture distribution of the individual claim laws with weights . Equivalently, multiplication of the individual compound-Poisson transforms produces .
A jump process with event types , increments , and rates can be represented as , with independent unit-rate Poisson processes. This represents the Markov jump-process generator through time-changed counts.
In the classical risk model with premium rate and claim Poisson process rate , the first-claim decomposition for survival probability implies the displayed equation for ultimate survival probability. Change the first-claim integral to an integral over available capital and differentiate its lower limit. The bounded survival probability function convolved with the integrable claim probability density function is continuous, so this also establishes the needed differentiability. In particular .
The ultimate survival probability satisfies . Condition on the first arrival of the Poisson process, differentiate the resulting exponentially weighted integral, and integrate the convolution derivative equation from zero. Tonelli theorem converts the claim-density convolution to the tail convolution. The kernel mass is , so this is a defective renewal equation.
Symmetric Poisson difference process Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
The difference of two independent rate- Poisson processes is a continuous-time simple symmetric random walk with total jump rate and variance at time .
If and , then is a rate-one Poisson process, becauseConversely, , so has a Poisson distribution of mean .