For a well-mixed lava lake of depth and a thin conductive crust of thickness , put , and use the convective flux with constant heat transfer coefficient . The Stefan condition and liquid heat balance give, to leading order in ,Here latent heat is per unit mass and . Crust heating and changes of liquid depth are neglected. The linear conductive profile uses a quasi-steady approximation; thinness alone does not justify neglecting crust thermal storage. During initial growth, a small Stefan number supplies a sufficient rapid-adjustment regime. Define , , and . Scaling by the thermal diffusion time and gives and , where , , and is the Stefan number. Thus exactly. The reduction applies while , the conductive profile is approximately linear, and the thermal convection closure remains valid; it does not model complete freezing of a deep lake.
In the radiogenically heated lava-lake crust model, the thickness derivative vanishes at when the liquid superheat is positive. This moving curve balances thermal conduction and convective heat flux; it is not itself the evolving crust. Cooling raises the curve and keeps an initially absent crust below it. Warming lowers the curve, allowing lava-crust overshoot under warming. At zero superheat the stationary thickness is infinite, so its finite formula applies only after positive superheat develops.
In the radiogenically heated lava-lake crust model, initially cool liquid warms exponentially and its instantaneous stationary lava-crust thickness decreases. The actual crust can cross this moving value, reach a maximum, and melt back to . Overshoot is not automatic. Linearizing about equilibrium givesIf and , the slowly decaying forced response has positive sign, so the crust eventually approaches equilibrium from above; an initially absent crust must then have overshot. In contrast, initially hot liquid cools, its instantaneous stationary thickness increases, and an initially absent crust cannot cross it from below: at a proposed first crossing its own derivative is zero but the stationary thickness has positive derivative. The hot-start crust therefore grows monotonically. These comparisons assume nonnegative liquid superheat.
In the radiogenically heated lava-lake crust model, temperature stays constant precisely when . Then , and an initially absent crust satisfies the displayed law for . It follows by integrating from zero to . The crust starts as and tends to only at infinite time. The equilibrium remains thin only if .
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