Let be a joint probability distribution on a finite product alphabet, with marginals . Compare it with a product model , assuming wherever . Adding and subtracting the logarithm of givesThe first term is the unavoidable error from discarding dependence; the other terms are errors in the individual marginal probability distributions. Averaging a term that depends only on under is the same as averaging it under , which proves the identity directly.
Among product laws, the choice minimizes this relative entropy, leaving exactly total correlation. The related cross-entropy equals entropy plus relative entropy identity interprets this as extra average logarithmic loss from using the independent model. It is a statement about a specified joint law and loss function, not a claim that fitting a finite sample automatically recovers that law.
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