Backward option pricing Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
At each node of a binomial tree, a claim with next-period values has valuewhere is the local risk-neutral probability in a binomial market. For an American claim, replace this continuation value by the maximum of continuation and immediate exercise value.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2022 ii Paper 4 29K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Under a risk-neutral measure, the discounted stock must be a martingale. If is the probability of the factor , this condition issoThe hypothesis ensures , making this equivalent to the original probability measure. Since the returns are independent under , the number of up moves has a binomial distribution, and hence
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 4 29K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Now . The local risk-neutral up probabilities solve . They areThe terminal payoff of the European put option with strike is at stock prices . Backward option pricing gives time-one valuesand henceThe first-period stock holding in the replicating portfolio in a binomial market isThus the hedge initially shorts of a share.