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Thinning of a Markov chain

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Statistical inference Bayesian statistics Markov chain Monte Carlo
2026-10-05  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
Thinning keeps every Lth state of a Markov chain. The retained chain has transition kernel KL and the same stationary distribution. It is generally still dependent, and reducing correlation between retained draws does not by itself improve precision per original transition. Keep all post-warmup draws unless storage or later processing requires thinning; assess precision using the effective sample size of a Markov chain.

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  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2018 / iii / Paper 219 / 2 / iv / Solution

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