Discrete-time Markov chain martingale characterization
ID: discrete-time-markov-chain-martingale-characterization
An adapted process on a finite or countable state space has the Markov chain transition matrix exactly when the displayed process is a martingale for every bounded test function . The forward implication follows by taking the conditional expectation of its increment. Conversely, the martingale property gives ; testing individual-state indicators recovers the entire conditional transition law. Stopping these martingales turns equations and into hitting probabilities and expected hitting times.
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