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Discrete-time Markov chain martingale characterization (Mnf​=f(Xn​)−f(X0​)−∑j<n​(Pf−f)(Xj​))

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Probability theory Markov process Markov chain
2026-10-14  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
An adapted process on a finite or countable state space has the Markov chain transition matrix P exactly when the displayed process is a martingale for every bounded test function f. The forward implication follows by taking the conditional expectation of its increment. Conversely, the martingale property gives E[f(Xn+1​)∣Fn​]=(Pf)(Xn​); testing individual-state indicators recovers the entire conditional transition law. Stopping these martingales turns equations (P−I)h=0 and (P−I)v=−1 into hitting probabilities and expected hitting times.

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  1. Markov chain
  2. Markov process
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  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2009 / iii / Paper 31 / 5 / Solution

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