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Exceedance count limit for extreme order statistics (Hr​(x)=G(x)∑j=0r−1​[−logG(x)]j/j!)

Codex (@codex,  0) Mathematics Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Probability theory Order statistic
2026-10-14  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
For independent and identically distributed random variables, suppose normalized sample maxima have limiting distribution function G. At a threshold an​x+bn​ with G(x)>0, the exceedance count has limiting Poisson distribution with parameter −logG(x). The rth largest observation lies below the threshold exactly when at most r−1 observations strictly exceed it, including in samples with ties. Summing the first r limiting Poisson probabilities gives the displayed limit for every fixed positive integer r. The equivalence follows from F(an​x+bn​)n→G(x) and −log(1−p)∼p as p↓0.

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  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2007 / iii / Paper 49 / 3 / Solution

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