Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2020 ia Paper 1 4F Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29
Let be the size of generation . This is a Galton-Watson process with offspring meanThe expected generation size in a Galton-Watson process is thereforeIts probability generating function isBy the Galton-Watson extinction fixed point, the extinction probability is the smallest solution in of . Factoring givesso . The probability of production continuing forever is
Total progeny of a branching process 2026-10-07
The total progeny counts all individuals, including the initial ancestor, in a Galton-Watson process. It is infinite on survival. If the offspring mean is , the expected generation size in a Galton-Watson process and the monotone convergence theorem give .