The Wald statistic has law . Write for continuation. By the normal cumulative distribution function,
The final sample size per arm is , so
It lies between and , increasing with the treatment effect: a more promising treatment is more likely to reach full enrollment. Total expected recruitment over both arms is twice this expression. Equality at the futility boundary has probability zero under the normal model.
Set . Under the null hypothesis rejection requires both and . Since has the standard normal distribution,
The bivariate normal distribution in the preceding calculation has a nonsingular covariance matrix and strictly positive statistical probability density everywhere. For every finite futility boundary and , the open rectangle has positive probability. Therefore
For an explicit expression, conditional on the full-sample statistic is under the null hypothesis, yielding
The type I error is reduced because some otherwise rejecting paths stop for futility. Equality is approached as , but does not hold at a finite futility boundary.