A shared coin prevents a zero-one conclusion 2026-10-14
More independent trials increase the chance of a head; repeated copies of one coin do not
. Exact constructed probabilities for at least one head in a window of coordinates. The independent curve is and tends to one; the shared-coin curve stays at . These are calculations from the two specified probability measures, not measurements or simulated frequencies. Details. Kolmogorov's zero–one law 2026-10-14
For mutually independent random variables, every tail event has . Identical probability distributions are unnecessary. The tail sigma-algebra is trivial in probability: its events have probability zero or one, though it can contain nonempty proper sets.[ref]
Probability: Theory and Examples (fifth edition) by Rick Durrett. Probability: Theory and Examples (fifth edition), §2.5, Theorem 2.5.3, printed pp. 81–82
For a proof, set and . Independence extended from generating pi-systems makes independent of , hence of each tail event . The increasing union is a generating pi-system for . For fixed , the events satisfying form a Dynkin system. The pi-lambda theorem extends this equality to all . Taking givesThus is independent of itself, forcing the two stated values.[ref]
Probability: Theory and Examples (fifth edition) by Rick Durrett. Probability: Theory and Examples (fifth edition), proof of Theorem 2.5.3, steps (a) and (b), printed pp. 81–82
The useful feature is the absence of intermediate probabilities for infinite properties that ignore every finite prefix. It reduces some calculations to showing that a tail event has positive probability, or that its complement does. The theorem supplies no finite observation deadline, and an extra argument such as the calculation in infinitely many heads as a tail event is needed to decide which value occurs.
