Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2010 ii Paper 2 30I Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-24
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 33 1 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Use the natural filtration of the simple symmetric random walk. The event belongs to , so is a stopping time.
For a positive integer , set . This exit time from the finite interval is integrable: in each block of steps there is a probability at least of all steps being positive, which forces exit if it has not already occurred. Consequently the survival probabilities have a geometric upper bound.
We use the bounded-time optional stopping theorem: if is a martingale and a bounded stopping time, then . Apply it at to and to the square-minus-time martingale of a simple symmetric random walk . The stopped positions lie in , so dominated convergence and monotone convergence giveWriting , the first equation becomes , hence . The second gives . Since , its expectation satisfies for every . ThereforeNevertheless . Thus the infinite mean first passage of a simple symmetric random walk occurs despite almost sure finiteness; using unrestricted optional stopping directly at would be unjustified.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 33 1 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Define the stopped martingaleIt is nonnegative: before the first visit to , the nearest-neighbour random walk is at most , and afterwards the stopped position is . Each is integrable, with . MoreoverThe indicator is -measurable and the increment has conditional mean zero, so is a martingale with .
Part (a) shows almost surely, so every such path eventually has . Thus almost surely. But for every , so there is no convergence in L1. Any possible L1 convergence limit would agree with the almost sure limit. This is a nonnegative martingale with almost sure convergence but no convergence in L1, and hence it is not uniformly integrable.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 33 4 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
For a nonnegative submartingale and , the weak form of the Doob maximal inequality isTo prove it, let be the event that is the first index with . These events are disjoint, , and their union is . The submartingale property gives . Multiplying by , taking expectations and summing yields . Nonnegativity gives the second inequality.
The associated Doob Lp maximal inequality, for and , isIndeed , so conditional Jensen inequality first ensures finite th moments for all and hence for the finite maximum. Integrating the weak inequality against and using the Tonelli theorem givesThe last step is Holder inequality. Dividing, unless the maximum is zero, proves the stated norm bound. For an arbitrary martingale, its absolute value is a nonnegative submartingale by conditional Jensen inequality, so both corresponding absolute-maximum bounds follow.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 33 4 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
The moment-generating function of a normal distribution givesIndependence of from impliesEvery exponential here is integrable. Thus the process is a martingale exactly when . Its two roots are and , and the unique positive root isThe resulting exponential martingale of a random walk is nonnegative and has expectation at every finite time.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 33 5 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Put . First establish almost sure finiteness. The Itô formula gives the martingale for planar Brownian motion. Stop it at . The stopped path has norm at most , soBy monotone convergence, , and hence almost surely.
The function is a harmonic function away from : in polar coordinates its Laplacian is . The Itô formula shows is a local martingale. It is bounded between and , so it is a true martingale and passage to is justified by dominated convergence. Writing and using continuity at exit givesSolving yields the planar Brownian annulus hitting probabilityThe stopping argument stays away from the singularity of the logarithm until the calculation is complete.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 34 1 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
An elementary predictable process with stopping-time intervals has the form , where the stopping times are ordered and is bounded and -measurable. Deterministic endpoints give the usual simple predictable process. Define the zero-starting stochastic integral byCommon refinement and telescoping show that this definition is independent of the representation. Use for an infinite endpoint. The L2-bounded martingale convergence theorem gives convergence of in to and .
Put . The optional sampling theorem gives . For , the variable is -measurable; hence . Applying the same theorem to the assumed martingale givesConsequently the Itô isometry follows:The unbounded stopping times cause no optional-sampling gap. The terminal representation makes uniformly integrable and makes the family of stopped uniformly integrable, by conditional Jensen applied to . Also , from monotone convergence theorem and the assumed square-compensator identity. Thus has the needed uniform integrability, and truncating stopping times and passing in is legitimate. Bounded coefficients are part of the simple-integrand convention; more general coefficients require the displayed square-integrability condition.