Taking the Earth's sidereal rotation period as , , and givesThe orbital radius is therefore about , or an altitude of about . Replacing the sidereal day by changes this estimate by less than .
The source's tangential arrows respectively point along and against the original motion; point radially outward and inward. Write for the initial orbital radius, for the circular orbital speed, and for the small added speed. The resulting trajectories follow the velocity kick on a circular Kepler orbit formulas. Here orbital energy includes kinetic energy and gravitational potential energy; angular momentum refers to the central object.
Four Kepler orbits following small tangential or radial velocity changes
. Details. Neglecting the planets' masses compared with the Sun's mass, Newton's law of universal gravitation supplies the centripetal acceleration of each circular orbit:Thus Kepler's third law, calibrated by the Earth's orbital period of one year and orbital radius of one astronomical unit, givesBoth orbits are taken to have the same direction. Their relative angular speed is , so the Sun-centred interval between successive conjunctions is the synodic periodUsing the supplied rounded orbital radii explains the small difference from the commonly quoted approximately twenty-year interval.
From the Earth, the two lines of sight are displaced differently because Jupiter and Saturn are at different distances. The Earth's annual motion along its orbit therefore shifts the dates of apparent conjunctions by amounts of order months. The broad recurrence remains about twenty years, but successive apparent conjunctions need not be equally spaced: apparent retrograde motion can produce a group of three conjunctions separated by months during one encounter. The Earth's daily rotation adds a much smaller change of viewpoint. This is a geometrical comparison in the stipulated coplanar model; daylight and the horizon can prevent a particular conjunction from being visible at a chosen surface location.
