Primordial density contrasts perturb the intrinsic photon temperature, the gravitational potential, and the velocity of the last-scattering material. Intrinsic photon-density fluctuations obey because ; adiabatic initial conditions relate these to matter density contrasts. Subsequent acoustic evolution, Doppler effect and gravitational frequency shifts determine the observed Cosmic microwave background anisotropy. There is no scale-independent identification of the final sky map with matter density contrast alone.
The spherical harmonic coefficients are random variables inherited from these perturbations. After subtracting the mean sky temperature, for the anisotropy modes. Gaussian primordial perturbations give approximately Gaussian random variables; this extra Gaussian assumption is not needed for diagonal covariance. Reality of the sky map implies .
For a statistically isotropic sky, its two-point function depends only on . Rotations mix the components at fixed and do not mix different irreducible spaces. A rotation-invariant covariance matrix is therefore a multiple of the identity in each block:On our one sky, average the angular components at fixed , or equivalently suitable rotated sky pairs, rather than treating different universes as observed samples. The CMB angular power spectrum is estimated byUnder the Gaussian, full-sky, noiseless assumptions, there are independent real degrees of freedom and . This cosmic variance remains even with perfect detectors; a finite sky mask and detector noise add further uncertainty. The estimator is unbiased, , but does not turn one realization into the exact ensemble mean.
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