The ideal two-shower event fraction is , approximately in simple channel counting or using the measured tau lepton electronic branching fraction. The selected particle decay chain is
The electron and Positron each make a contained electromagnetic shower; muons penetrate, and generic hadrons do not deposit all their energy as a contained electromagnetic shower.
To estimate , use lepton universality and neglect final masses and Quantum chromodynamics corrections. The electronic and muonic decay widths each carry weight one. The accessible inclusive hadronic channels have weights and , where three is the color multiplicity in a decay width. The charm quark is inaccessible in physical tau lepton hadronic decays. With , the total weight is , giving
The 2021 measured value instead gives .[ref] The difference reflects effects omitted by the simple free-channel estimate, especially the hadronic contribution to the total decay width.
There are two tau leptons per produced pair and two per selected pair, so the fraction of all produced tau leptons belonging to these two-shower events is also . The unrestricted fraction of individual tau leptons decaying electronically is ; these are different selections. A real high-energy shower cut gives an additional acceptance factor: , which cannot be computed without the cut and detector response. No factor of two is needed for the unique assignment.

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