At half ionization, electron and neutral densities are each , so the left side of Saha's equation is . Its logarithm changes by . To first order,
This holds for small fractional changes and the supplied ground-state partition approximation, not an exact finite-difference identity.
The measured ratio is ten, so . Taking eV gives eV or K. Substitute into Saha's equation:
Higher density favors recombination and reduces the entropy advantage of free electrons at a fixed ionized fraction, so a higher temperature is required. The ratio 8.5 means half ionization does not require to equal the ionization energy: translational phase space and the exponential tail are important.
Hydrogen's excitation energy is eV. With electronic degeneracy ratio , its relative population is . Thus the first excited manifold contributes below one percent of the ground population at the inferred temperature, explaining the leading ground-state approximation.
There is a qualification to extending this argument to infinitely many Rydberg states: the isolated-atom partition sum with degeneracy formally diverges. Plasma screening and level dissolution impose a physical cutoff. The small low-lying populations justify the simple approximation in its intended regime, not an unrestricted infinite partition sum.

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