Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2013 iii Paper 30 1 f Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
A natural next fit is quadratic regression, which remains a normal linear model in its unknown regression coefficients:The new design matrix has rows and must have matrix rank three; three distinct predictor values suffice. The curved regression residual pattern suggests trying a positive quadratic term, but its sign and adequacy should be checked after fitting. Inspect the new regression residuals to see whether the systematic curvature has disappeared.
Residual curvature diagnostic 2026-10-07
A systematic curved pattern in regression residuals plotted against fitted values suggests a misspecified conditional mean. Positive residuals at both ends and negative residuals in the middle motivate trying quadratic regression. The diagnostic does not by itself identify the error probability distribution or prove heteroscedasticity.