Decision tree learning 2026-10-14
Decision tree learning fits predictors by recursively partitioning input space. Leaves predict labels for classification or numerical values for regression; a regression tree is the numerical-response case.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2004 iii Paper 43 4 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
princomp(): principal component analysis. Supply observations in rows and numeric variables in columns. After centering, let denote the resulting matrix and its sample covariance matrix, with an explicitly stated normalization. WriteThe first direction maximizes the Rayleigh quotient over unit vectors; successive directions maximize it subject to orthogonality to the earlier directions. The principal component scores are , with variances and zero pairwise sample covariance. Zero covariance alone does not imply independence. Each principal component loading describes a direction in variable space; its sign is arbitrary, and repeated eigenvalues leave the basis inside the corresponding eigenspace arbitrary.The function returns principal component loadings, component standard deviations
sdev and, when requested, principal component scores. By default it uses a covariance matrix; cor=T instead performs principal component analysis on a correlation matrix, standardizing nonconstant variables to variance one. This choice matters when variables have different measurement units. These interface details are documented in the S-Plus help for princomp.A scree plot shows the ordered eigenvalues; a plot of the first two principal component scores can reveal groups, unusual observations or a dominant gradient. The first components explain of the total variance. Reconstructing each centered observation by its orthogonal projection onto these directions minimizes average squared reconstruction error among -dimensional linear subspaces. Thus PCA gives an optimal linear compression for squared reconstruction error, with scaling and the retained dimension chosen explicitly. It is an unsupervised learning method, rather than a classification rule fitted to supplied labels.
tree(): classification trees and regression trees. A call such as tree(response ~ predictors, data=dat) fits a recursive partitioning model. At a current node, test numerical predictors against candidate thresholds, or divide the levels of a categorical predictor into two sets. Select a split that most improves the fitting criterion, then repeat within its children. Numerical splits give axis-aligned regions. A categorical response produces a classification tree; a numeric response produces a regression tree, as specified in the S-Plus tree documentation.For a regression tree, the constant prediction in a terminal region is its sample mean, minimizing the sum of squared residuals there. For a classification tree, estimate class probabilities by the observed proportions in a leaf and predict a most probable class under equal misclassification costs. The classification-tree deviance of a node iswith ; splitting maximizes the decrease from parent to children. This fitting criterion differs from the number of wrong classifications. The middle sketches show the same three-region partition as a binary tree: first split on variable one, then split the right-hand branch on variable two.
Growing to small leaves can overfit. Use cost-complexity tree pruning, balancing fitted loss against leaf count,and select complexity by cross-validation. Plotting the fitted tree and annotating nodes displays the rules; prediction routes each new observation through the fitted splits. A tree gives an interpretable, piecewise-constant prediction rule; training fit alone does not measure prediction accuracy.
The
rpart() alternative. This also fits classification and regression trees by recursive partitioning, with squared-error splitting for ordinary numeric responses and, by default for classification, Gini impurity . Classification settings can instead use information-based splitting and specify prior probabilities and a loss matrix. It supports surrogate splits to approximate a node's primary left/right assignment when the primary predictor is missing. Its complexity-parameter path and cross-validated errors support cost-complexity tree pruning; for example, select a complexity parameter and apply prune(fit, cp=...). The maintainer's rpart documentation describes the criteria and the distinction in handling surrogate predictors. The partition and tree sketches apply to either implementation; the fitted tree need not be the same because splitting criteria and controls can differ.cmdscale(): classical multidimensional scaling. Its input is a dissimilarity matrix or stored distance object. It outputs coordinates for the observations in a chosen dimension, usually two for visualization. Let contain the squared entries of , and putFor centered Euclidean coordinates , the distance identity gives : multiplying by removes the row and column norm terms. Diagonalize this Gram matrix and retain its largest positive eigenvalues. The coordinates areThus classical scaling exactly recovers Euclidean distances when all positive eigenvalues are retained. Reducing dimension approximates the centered Gram matrix; it does not in general minimize squared discrepancies in the original distances. Negative eigenvalues identify a failure of the Euclidean distance matrix criterion, so their size matters when interpreting a display. The historical S-Plus cmdscale help describes the dimension argument, eigenvalue output and optional additive adjustment to dissimilarities.Plot the two coordinate columns on equally scaled axes and label observations. Nearby plotted points suggest small dissimilarities only insofar as the dimension reduction fits the input well. The bottom sketches give an exact Euclidean example: a configuration and its independently recovered two-dimensional coordinates have identical pairwise distances, despite different coordinate axes. Classical scaling converts distances into geometry; translations, rotations and reflections do not change the represented distances. For Euclidean distances between observations, its coordinates agree with the corresponding principal component scores up to these harmless choices of axes.
Illustrative PCA directions and scree plot, equivalent recursive partition and tree, and exact classical-scaling recovery of Euclidean distances
. Details. Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 4 30J a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
A regression tree chooses a threshold and constant predictions to minimize the squared-error criterionwhere ranges over thresholds producing two nonempty groups. For a fixed split, the least-squares minimizers are the two sample means,Thus the first split is the candidate threshold with the smallest sum of the two within-node residual sums of squares.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 ii Paper 2 31K a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Start with the root region . For any current terminal region , coordinate , and threshold , formdiscarding splits that leave an empty child. For each child use its training-response meanCompare candidate splits by the resulting residual sum of squarestogether with the unchanged residual sums in the other leaves. Choose the leaf, coordinate, and threshold minimizing the total. Replace that leaf by its two children and repeat until the stopping rule or the prescribed leaves is reached. The resulting terminal regions are , andThis is the standard regression tree construction.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2025 iii Paper 218 1 f Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Among all depth-one regression tree splits, the best split separates the second observation from the first and third by cutting advert1 between and . The test point with advert1 equal to zero reaches the leaf containing responses and , so the output is their arithmetic mean,This decision stump makes a piecewise-constant prediction far outside the observed predictor range and cannot extrapolate the spending trend towards the origin. Its shallow structure and leaf averaging keep its variance of an estimator modest, while that extrapolation failure can produce substantial bias of an estimator.
Regression tree Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
A regression tree is the numerical-response case of decision tree learning. A regression tree recursively partitions predictor space by axis-aligned splits. At each leaf, candidate coordinates and thresholds are compared by the residual sum of squares after replacing that leaf by its two children; the selected split minimizes the total criterion. The fitted value in each terminal region is the sample mean there.
