Cumulative hazard function Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
Suppose has an absolutely continuous probability distribution, with survival function . On an interval where , its cumulative hazard isHere is the hazard function; its integral is dimensionless because the units of rate and time cancel. The identity follows by integrating the derivative of , so mere continuity of the survival function is not enough: the absolute continuity assumption supplies a probability density function. If reaches zero, interpret as . The normalization also matters; an initial probability mass at zero would require an initial term .
Accumulating hazard functions adds on the scale and multiplies survival factors on the scale. For and ,For instance, a cumulative hazard increment of gives event probability , rather than a probability of . With per year, and . With the increasing hazard function per year when is expressed in years, , so gives . Its coefficient has units of inverse years squared.
The constant hazard function produces an exponential distribution; the increasing example is a Weibull distribution. Their survival functions both decrease, although one hazard function stays constant and the other increases. At year ten both have and despite different earlier histories. The accumulation identity is described in Lu Tian's Stanford notes, Section 1.1.
For a discrete hazard at each possible event time , the exact counterpart is . Taking its negative logarithm sums , rather than . Therefore exponentiating a Nelson–Aalen estimator does not give exactly the Kaplan–Meier estimator; small-jump comparison of cumulative hazard estimators quantifies the difference.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2003 iii Paper 40 2 iv Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Put . The Taylor series of the logarithm gives the small-jump comparison of cumulative hazard estimators:Consequently, if , the two integrated hazard estimates obeyThey are close when every event fraction is small. In particular, with distinct single failures and large risk sets, is small. With tied data, large risk sets alone are insufficient if a substantial fraction of the risk set fails together.
