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Take $x$ downslope and $z$ normal to the plane. To leading order in the lubrication approximation, Newtonian gravity gives the hydrostatic pressure $p=p_{\mathrm{atm}}+\rho g(h-z)$. The downslope Stokes equation is therefore $\mu u_{zz}=\rho g(h_x-\theta )$. Imposing the no-slip boundary condition at $z=0$ and the stress-free boundary condition at $z=h$ givesHere $\nu =\mu /\rho$ is the kinematic viscosity; $u$ is the downslope velocity. Applying mass conservation to this lubrication gravity-current flux,For typical thickness $H=\hat{h}$ and length $L=\hat{x}$, the transverse velocity is $O(UH/L)$ by incompressibility. Both convective terms are then $O(U^2/L)$, while transverse viscous acceleration is $O(\nu U/H^2)$. Thus the inertia criterion for an inclined viscous film is $U{H}^2/(\nu L)\ll 1$, in addition to $H/L\ll 1$. With evolution time $T\sim L/U$ the same condition controls unsteady inertia. If a faster time is independently imposed, also require $H^2/(\nu T)\ll 1$. Estimating $U$ from the velocity profile gives the two requested limits:

At long times, $h\sim A/x_N$ and the ratio of hydrostatic-gradient forcing to downslope Newtonian gravity in the bulk is $h_x/\theta =O(A/(\theta x_N^2))\ll 1$. Put $K=g\theta /(3\nu )$; the bulk conservation law is $h_t+(K{h}^3{)}_x=0$. The finite-volume gravity-driven thin-film current scales as $x\sim t^{1/3}$, $h\sim t^{-1/3}$. More explicitly, writing $h=t^{-1/3}f(\xi )$, $\xi =x/t^{1/3}$, givesThe constant of integration is zero for the zero-flux dry tail. ConsequentlyThe reduced bulk solution is zero outside this interval. Its thin nose region is resolved below. Integrating to impose the conserved area,The bulk front height is $h_N=3A/(2x_N)$, with $h_N^2=x_N/(3Kt)$. Differentiation of the front law givesEquivalently, this is the Rankine-Hugoniot condition for the bulk shock wave, whose speed is flux divided by height.

In moving coordinate $y=x-x_N(t)$, the full thin-film equation becomes $h_t{|}_y-{\dot{x}}_N{h}_y+q_y=0$. A nose thickness $h_N$ and slope $\theta$ give axial scale ${\ell }_N=h_N/\theta$. Since ${\ell }_N/x_N=O(A/(\theta x_N^2))\ll 1$, the explicit time derivative is smaller than translation by that ratio. The travelling front of a gravity-driven thin film is therefore quasisteady. Integrate once with dry-tip flux zero to obtain $q={\dot{x}}_{N}h$, orWith $f=h/h_N$, separation of variables and the convention $y=0$ at $f=0$ giveThe nose approaches $h_N$ exponentially far behind its tip, then falls to zero with a vertical tangent in this small-slope model. The requested sketch shows this monotone profile:

Expanding the inverse hyperbolic tangent, $f-\mathrm{atanh}f=-f^3/3+O(f^5)$, so $h\sim (-3\theta h_N^{2}y{)}^{1/3}$. Its slope has magnitude $\theta /f^2$ near the tip. The small-slope breakdown at an inclined-current nose occurs at $f=O(\sqrt{\theta })$, which givesFinally, surface tension produces a pressure-gradient scale $\gamma h_N/{\ell }_N^3$, whereas downslope Newtonian gravity gives $\rho g\theta$. Their ratio is $\gamma {\theta }^2/(\rho g{h}_N^2)$. Thus surface tension changes the principal nose length whenThis is a bulk-nose crossover; capillarity and contact-line physics can already affect a smaller region very close to the dry tip even when the bulk nose is Newtonian gravity dominated.