Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 21 6 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
When paths move only by jumps of size , there is neither a Gaussian component nor a continuous drift. The Lévy measure is supported on and has finite mass because these points are bounded away from zero. The process is therefore a Compound Poisson process, expressible as a difference of independent Poisson processeswhere the rates are respectively. The martingale assumptions implyHence . The embedded jump chain is a simple symmetric random walk, and the total jump rate is one. In particular,This is the symmetric Skellam distribution, with the explicit mass functionFor , sum the joint probabilities of ; for , interchange the two variables. The characteristic function is , consistent with the rate-one symmetric Poisson difference process. The condition that paths move only by jumps is essential to exclude a separate continuous component.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 21 6 Solution 2026-10-14
For the exit law, the two identified processes have the same argument. Starting at zero, neither can skip or : Brownian motion is continuous, and the symmetric Poisson difference process has unit jumps with integer boundary levels. Therefore , and if is finite, .
To justify finiteness rather than presume it, apply the optional stopping theorem to the martingale at the bounded stopping time :The first boundary hitting time is a stopping time in both cases: in the continuous case use the continuous-path hitting criterion, and in the jump case inspect the successive jump times. Monotone convergence now gives , so almost surely. The stopped position tends to as and is bounded, making dominated convergence applicable. Stopping at and taking this limit yields .
If , then . Thus in both cases the entire distribution isThis is the same balanced gambler's ruin law despite the different one-time distributions. As a further consistency check, passing to the limit in the stopped square-martingale identity givesAll uses of an unbounded exit time were obtained by limits of bounded-time sampling with an explicit bound on the stopped position.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 201 6 e Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
Let , where and are independent Poisson processes of rate . This symmetric Poisson difference process is centered, has jumps , and has variance rate . If are positive integers, then exactly. Optional sampling of the martingale givesConsequentlyPart (d) now gives the mean exit time
Skellam distribution 2026-10-14
The distribution of for independent Poisson random variables with means is the Skellam distribution. Its characteristic function is , its mean is and its variance is . For equal means ,This is the fixed-time law of a symmetric Poisson difference process.
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