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A slowly varying coastal Kelvin wave can force long Rossby waves at the same absolute frequency and alongshore wavenumber. In the regime $k^2+{\ell }^2\ll L_d^{-2}$, the offshore group velocity is westward with magnitude $\beta L_d^2$. With coastal phase velocity magnitude $c$, matching gives $|k|=c|\ell |/(\beta L_d^2)$. The zonal long-wave condition therefore additionally requires $|\ell |\ll \beta L_d/c$; $|\ell |L_d\ll 1$ alone is insufficient. This mechanism transmits coastal thermocline anomalies into an ocean basin over a much slower timescale than coastal propagation.

The warm phase of the coupled tropical Pacific El Niño–Southern Oscillation, with central and eastern equatorial Pacific surface warming and a weakened Walker circulation. Changes of trade winds, thermocline depth, and equatorial Kelvin waves and equatorial Rossby waves participate in its evolution.

Author's chapter hosted by NOAA. By Michael J. McPhaden, in the Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change, volume 1, pages 353–370. Box 2 on printed page 358 explains equatorial Kelvin waves and Rossby waves; pages 358–359 describe eastern thermocline deepening and delayed cooling after western reflection.

Coupled variability of the tropical Pacific ocean and terrestrial atmosphere, including the warm El Niño phase, the cold La Niña phase, and associated changes in surface pressure, trade winds and the thermocline.

Kelvin waves: weakened trade winds, or a westerly wind burst, excite a downwelling equatorial Kelvin wave. Its positive upper-layer thickness anomaly travels eastward and deepens the eastern Pacific thermocline. Upwelling then entrains warmer water, favouring eastern Pacific surface warming and the development of El Niño. This is a propagating adjustment of the thermocline, rather than transport of an unchanged parcel of warm water across the entire basin.^[ref]

Gravity waves: changed tropical convection and its latent heat release force atmospheric internal gravity waves. Their rapid propagation spreads the associated pressure and buoyancy disturbances, allowing the tropical terrestrial atmosphere to adjust to the shifted heating and contributing to the divergent circulation and surface wind response coupled to the ocean. This is one atmospheric adjustment mechanism; it does not assert that all wind variability during a particular El Niño is caused by this wave family.

Rossby waves: wind forcing during El Niño also launches westward equatorial Rossby waves with a shoaling thermocline signal. Reflection at the western Pacific boundary can produce an eastward upwelling equatorial Kelvin wave, which shoals the eastern thermocline and promotes cooling. This supplies a delayed negative feedback that can help terminate the event.^[ref] These examples describe mechanisms relevant to events such as 2023/24, rather than claiming an event-specific attribution from the exam data.

Use a shallow, homogeneous active upper layer of mean thickness $h_0$ and mass density ${\rho }_1$, over a much deeper, effectively stationary layer with mass density ${\rho }_2>{\rho }_1$. The Boussinesq approximation keeps the small density contrast only in buoyancy, giving reduced gravity $g^{\prime }=g({\rho }_2-{\rho }_1)/{\rho }_0$. The hydrostatic approximation and shallow-water approximation make horizontal velocity nearly depth independent and turn the interface slope into the horizontal force $-g^{\prime }\nabla h$.

Linearize about rest and uniform $h_0$, with $|h-h_0|\ll h_0$, neglecting products of perturbations and convective acceleration. The f-plane approximation sets the Coriolis parameter to constant $f_0$. Neglect wind forcing, viscosity, entrainment and bottom drag. The two horizontal momentum equations then balance local acceleration, the Coriolis force and the pressure gradient. The signs $-f_{0}v$ and $+f_{0}u$ follow from eastward and northward coordinates.

The thickness equation is the linearized conservation of mass law: horizontal divergence decreases $h$, while horizontal convergence increases it. Here $h$ is active-layer thickness, not total ocean depth, and $g^{\prime }$ rather than $g$ gives the restoring force because the motion principally displaces the thermocline.

Use Earth's rotation rate $\Omega =7.292\times 10^{-5}{\mathrm{s}}^{-1}$ and the Coriolis parameter $f=2\Omega \sin \varphi$. At $|\varphi |=10^{\circ }$,The Kelvin waves propagate polewards along the eastern boundary: northwards at $10^{\circ }$ N and southwards at $10^{\circ }$ S. The positive Rossby deformation radius uses $|f|$; the source's expression $c/f$ must be interpreted as a magnitude in the southern hemisphere.

The east-west e-folding distance is approximately $100$ km, orof longitude. With the coast at $x=0$ and ocean at $x<0$, a northern-hemisphere snapshot can be writtenAt a positive thickness crest, the thermocline is depressed and the alongshore velocity points polewards; a negative thickness trough reverses that velocity. In the southern hemisphere replace $c$ by $-c$ in the propagation and in $v/\eta$. The envelopes of both thickness and alongshore velocity decay offshore, and the cross-shore velocity vanishes.

Coastal Kelvin-wave radiation of long Rossby waves requires a common phase convention to match the two waves. The supplied Rossby wave formula conventionally multiplies $e^{i(k_{R}x+{\ell }_{R}y-{\omega }_{R}t)}$, while the coastal expression uses $e^{i({\omega }_{K}t-{\ell }_{K}y)}$. Since physical fields are real, matching may use the complex-conjugate representative; in either convention the boundary forcing fixes the absolute frequency and alongshore wavenumber. Thus $|{\omega }_R|=|{\omega }_K|$ and $|{\ell }_R|=|{\ell }_K|$.

For $k_R^2+{\ell }_R^2\ll L_d^{-2}$, the shallow-water Rossby-wave dispersion relation reduces toChoosing $k_R>0$ recovers the printed magnitude relation. Both the zonal phase velocity and zonal group velocity are approximately $-\beta L_d^2$, so the long Rossby waves carry the coastal signal westwards into the basin.

The coastal condition $|{\ell }_K|L_d\ll 1$ alone does not guarantee a long zonal wavelength. Since $|{\omega }_K|=c|{\ell }_K|$, matching requires $|k_R|=c|{\ell }_K|/(\beta L_d^2)$ and hence the stronger consistency conditionFor example, at $10^{\circ }$ a coastal wavenumber with $|{\ell }_K|L_d=0.05$ gives $|k_R|L_d\simeq 0.56$, which is not asymptotically small even though the meridional wavelength is long. Thus the source's proposed excitation is possible at sufficiently low frequency; it is not an automatic consequence of its meridional long-wave assumption.

At $10^{\circ }$ N or S the beta plane parameter isTaking a representative Pacific basin width $W\simeq 1.5\times 10^7$ m givesA width of $1.4$–$1.7\times 10^7$ m gives roughly $2.0$–$2.4$ years. This is propagation near $10^{\circ }$ latitude, not an equatorial $f=0$ calculation. Slow Rossby wave adjustment supplies a basin-scale delay relevant to El Niño–Southern Oscillation: changing thermocline depth can affect later sea surface temperature and coupled wind forcing. Reflection and coupling may help produce interannual memory, but this travel-time estimate alone does not establish a climate oscillation or its period.

The temperature of a specified near-surface ocean layer. Skin and bulk measurements refer to different sampling depths. Coupled variations in sea surface temperature, winds and thermocline depth are central to El Niño–Southern Oscillation.

Upward water motion bringing subsurface water toward the surface. For example, wind-driven surface divergence near the equator can be supplied by upwelling of colder water from near the thermocline. A deeper thermocline can reduce the cooling produced by a given rate of upwelling.