Uncertainty of a reference-corrected spectral change

For reference-assisted spectral offset separation, the corrected estimate $\hat{\theta }=z-qr$ depends on the measured sample change $z$, reference change $r$ and sensitivity ratio $q$. Its measurement uncertainty must include their joint variation, including uncertainty in a fitted sensitivity ratio. Subtracting a reference can reduce shared noise while adding independent noise.

The gradient of the measurement model $z-qr$ with respect to $(z,r,q)$ is $g=(1,-q,-r)$. If $\Sigma$ is their covariance matrix, first-order uncertainty propagation gives $u_{\theta }^2\approx g\Sigma g^{\mathsf{T}}$, orThe signs follow from the sensitivity coefficients, rather than a rule that all correlation reduces uncertainty. This is an application of the correlated-input propagation law in the primary GUM.^[ref]

For an original independent-input example, take $z=0.12\mathrm{c}{\mathrm{m}}^{-1}$, $r=2.0\mathrm{c}{\mathrm{m}}^{-1}$, $q=0.04$, $u_z=0.010\mathrm{c}{\mathrm{m}}^{-1}$, $u_r=0.20\mathrm{c}{\mathrm{m}}^{-1}$ and $u_q=0.010$. Then $\hat{\theta }=0.040\mathrm{c}{\mathrm{m}}^{-1}$ andTreating $q$ as exact would give only $0.01281\mathrm{c}{\mathrm{m}}^{-1}$. A large reference response amplifies uncertainty in its conversion ratio, even when that response is measured precisely.

For mutually independent random inputs, the exact product variance also includes $u_q^2{u}_r^2$:where $q,r$ on the right denote the input means. It follows by expanding $\mathbb{E}(q^2{r}^2)=(q^2+u_q^2)(r^2+u_r^2)$. This term is omitted by linearization. In the example it changes the standard uncertainty to about $0.02383\mathrm{c}{\mathrm{m}}^{-1}$.

Experimentally, use paired sample/reference spectra to estimate shared covariance, and independent sensitivity measurements to test the proposed value of $q$. If the same spectra estimate both $q$ and the correction, independence cannot simply be assumed. Drift between acquisitions or a nonlinear reference response is a measurement model problem as well as a precision problem.