In independent trials with two outcomes of probabilities and , let include the first trial and the trial that first completes the pair. Conditional on the first outcome, has a geometric distribution of parameter or , with mixture weights . The law of total expectation and law of total variance giveThe final term in the unsimplified variance is the variance of the two conditional means; omitting it is incorrect unless . Both outcomes must have positive probability for these finite formulas.
Articles by others on the same topic
There are currently no matching articles.