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Past exam of the Probability, statistics and options II course of the University of Oxford 2008 O 5 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
For a sample size define and . The normal-sample theorem givesIt also states that the mean and sample variance are independent. Combining (i) and (ii), and the independence across samples, the correctly centred pivot isThe source reverses the mean difference inside the subtraction. Its literal statistic is generally noncentral when , rather than having a central Student distribution. Under the null hypothesis both differences are zero, so this misprint does not change the requested null test.
For a two-sided level- test reject when . In the numerical example the pooled variance is , the standard error is , and . There are eight degrees of freedom and the supplied critical value is . Thus do not reject equal mean cell volume at the 5% level. This does not establish equality of the means; it states that the observed difference does not cross this test's two-sided threshold.
Age matching introduces a shared block factor: the two observations in a pair can be associated, and their age-dependent means also undermine the simple unblocked independent-samples model. A paired t-test on the within-pair drug-minus-placebo differences accounts for that design, assuming independent pairs and the corresponding normal-difference model. Shared age variation cancels in those differences; positive within-pair association reduces their variance and can increase power, although the reduction in degrees of freedom means improvement is not automatic. The paired test cannot be computed from the two marginal means and variances alone: the within-pair differences or covariance are needed.
Past exam of the Probability, statistics and options II course of the University of Oxford 2008 O 4 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
Assume independent survival times and positive rate . With , the likelihood is on the observed nonnegative data. The score and negative expected second derivative are and . For , which holds almost surely under the model,The usual independent-sample likelihood asymptotics give . Thus an approximate Wald interval isFor a positive interval with the same first-order justification, apply the delta method to , obtaining endpoints .
A single individual survives until with probability . Thus and the new likelihood is . For , its maximum occurs at , givingIf , the supremum occurs as and there is no finite maximum. If , it occurs at the boundary of the extended parameter space, or is only a supremum when the rate is required to be strictly positive.
A binomial experiment has information for . Since , parameter transformation givesAs quantified by Fisher information in an exponential survival snapshot, the ratio of this information to the complete-data information is with , strictly less than one by the supplied inequality. Hence every fixed survival snapshot loses information. Under regular large-sample conditions its efficient rate estimator has larger asymptotic variance, and correspondingly wider uncertainty intervals, than the estimator based on all individual survival times. This comparison concerns information and asymptotic uncertainty, not a claim that every realized interval in one experiment is wider.
Past exam of the Probability, statistics and options II course of the University of Oxford 2008 M 4 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
The moment generating function is wherever that expectation is finite. A useful continuity theorem says that if the moment generating functions are finite on a common open interval containing zero and converge pointwise there to the moment generating function of a probability distribution, then the corresponding variables converge in distribution to that law. Equivalently one may assume a finite limiting function on such a neighborhood, with the usual continuity at zero, and obtain the uniquely determined limiting law.
For the gamma density, integrating the exponential against the density and changing variable to givesFor the waiting time to one head, independence of successive tosses gives for . Summing the geometric series givesThe waiting times between consecutive heads are independent copies of , so their sum has moment generating function . ConsequentlyFor fixed , numerator and denominator have leading terms and as . A fixed neighborhood of zero is inside the convergence domain for all sufficiently small , so the continuity theorem applies. The limiting distribution isequivalently a chi-squared distribution with degrees of freedom.
Past exam of the Probability, statistics and options II course of the University of Oxford 2008 K 4 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
Take source strength to mean total two-dimensional flux, so an isolated source has potential . Let , , and put . The circle theorem gives, up to an additive constant,The derivative is single valued, which is what the force integrals require. With a positively oriented contour around the cylinder, the force form of Blasius' theorem isOnly the poles at zero and are enclosed; the physical source at lies outside. The residues of are at zero and at . Their sum is . ThereforeFor the second integral, the residue of at zero is one. At it is . Their sum is . Using precisely the supplied complex-moment convention givesThe vanishing physical moment is also consistent with pressure acting normally to a circle, hence radially about its centre. If strength is instead defined as the coefficient of , replace by that strength throughout; stating the flux convention fixes all factors of .
Past exam of the Probability, statistics and options II course of the University of Oxford 2008 K 3 Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
For wall-induced motion of a planar potential dipole, the complex velocity convention is . A singularity transported by the surrounding flow therefore satisfies , where its own term is removed before differentiating. The images at a given instant depend on that instantaneous position, but the spatial derivative treats their parameters as fixed.
For the circular wall, the derivative of the regular image is . For the quadrant, differentiate its three image terms. For the sloping wall, differentiate its single image term. This gives respectivelyThese are equations for , as printed. Conjugating gives equations for if desired; no self-induced singular velocity is included.
Pinned article: Introduction to the OurBigBook Project
Welcome to the OurBigBook Project! Our goal is to create the perfect publishing platform for STEM subjects, and get university-level students to write the best free STEM tutorials ever.
Everyone is welcome to create an account and play with the site: ourbigbook.com/go/register. We belive that students themselves can write amazing tutorials, but teachers are welcome too. You can write about anything you want, it doesn't have to be STEM or even educational. Silly test content is very welcome and you won't be penalized in any way. Just keep it legal!
Intro to OurBigBook
. Source. We have two killer features:
- topics: topics group articles by different users with the same title, e.g. here is the topic for the "Fundamental Theorem of Calculus" ourbigbook.com/go/topic/fundamental-theorem-of-calculusArticles of different users are sorted by upvote within each article page. This feature is a bit like:
- a Wikipedia where each user can have their own version of each article
- a Q&A website like Stack Overflow, where multiple people can give their views on a given topic, and the best ones are sorted by upvote. Except you don't need to wait for someone to ask first, and any topic goes, no matter how narrow or broad
This feature makes it possible for readers to find better explanations of any topic created by other writers. And it allows writers to create an explanation in a place that readers might actually find it.Figure 1. Screenshot of the "Derivative" topic page. View it live at: ourbigbook.com/go/topic/derivativeVideo 2. OurBigBook Web topics demo. Source. - local editing: you can store all your personal knowledge base content locally in a plaintext markup format that can be edited locally and published either:This way you can be sure that even if OurBigBook.com were to go down one day (which we have no plans to do as it is quite cheap to host!), your content will still be perfectly readable as a static site.
- to OurBigBook.com to get awesome multi-user features like topics and likes
- as HTML files to a static website, which you can host yourself for free on many external providers like GitHub Pages, and remain in full control
Figure 2. You can publish local OurBigBook lightweight markup files to either OurBigBook.com or as a static website.Figure 3. Visual Studio Code extension installation.Figure 5. . You can also edit articles on the Web editor without installing anything locally. Video 3. Edit locally and publish demo. Source. This shows editing OurBigBook Markup and publishing it using the Visual Studio Code extension. - Infinitely deep tables of contents:
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