 Biased-step entropy production model

Take $n$ independent steps, each $+1$ with probability $p>1/2$ and $-1$ with probability $q=1-p>0$. Reverse a step sequence by reading it backward and changing each sign; use the same biased law for both experiments. With $K$ positive steps, the forward sequence weight is $p^K{q}^{n-K}$ and its reversed weight is $p^{n-K}{q}^K$. Their logarithm ratio isHere $S_n$ is dimensionless entropy production, not an entropy in joules per kelvin. A Markov chain on a three-state ring gives a state-space realization: start uniformly, take a clockwise step with probability $p$ and a counterclockwise step with probability $q$. The uniform stationary distribution makes endpoint weights cancel. A physical interpretation as exchanged heat requires local detailed balance with bath entropy $\pm k_{B}a$ per directed step; the abstract model alone specifies path probabilities.

For an allowed value $s=a(2k-n)$, the binomial distribution givesThis is an exact same-law finite fluctuation theorem, with no long-time approximation. For $p=3/4$, $n=9$ and $k=6$, $s=3\ln 3$ and $p_n(s)/p_n(-s)=27$. The positive mean is $⟨S_n⟩=na(p-q)$, although the all-negative path has nonzero probability $q^n$. Directly, $⟨e^{-S_n}⟩=(p{e}^{-a}+q{e}^a{)}^n=(q+p{)}^n=1$.

The left panel shows exact probability masses for $p=3/4$, with negative values highlighted; the right panel tests the logarithm ratio against $s$. These are model values, without experimental measurements or simulated measurement noise.