Differentiating the residualized objective gives
This is the population Frisch–Waugh–Lovell theorem.
For a semiparametric estimator, estimate and flexibly. With cross-fitting, obtain held-out predictions and regress the residualized outcome on the residualized treatment through the origin:
Cross-fitting limits overfitting bias and permits flexible nuisance estimators under the usual convergence and overlap conditions.
Estimate the propensity score and the untreated outcome regression , preferably with cross-fitting when flexible methods are used, and set
With , the resulting one-step estimator of the ATT is
Equivalently,
This is an augmented inverse-probability-weighted estimator; it is consistent when either the propensity model or the untreated outcome model is correct, subject to the usual regularity and positivity conditions.
The tower property of conditional expectation gives
and another expectation gives .
Use the augmented inverse-probability-weighted estimator
Condition on the independently trained nuisance estimators. Subtracting the oracle influence variable
produces a conditional empirical fluctuation with variance after multiplication by , using , overlap, and the bounded conditional variance. Its conditional bias is
whose absolute value is at most by Cauchy-Schwarz inequality. Thus
The central limit theorem and Slutsky theorem give the claimed limit. Without auxiliary data, use cross-fitting: split the sample into folds, train both nuisance estimators away from each observation's fold, and average the same score over held-out observations.