Independent random variables Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-25
Random variables are independent when, for every choice of Borel sets ,The requirement covers all these events, not only one selected combination of values. Equivalently, the generated sigma-algebras are independent sigma-algebras, or the joint probability distribution is the product measure of the marginal distributions. For an infinite family, the same condition must hold for every finite subfamily. For random elements, replace Borel sets by measurable sets in their specified target spaces.
For discrete random variables, checking every entry of the joint probability mass function is enough:Summing this identity over the desired sets proves the event formulation. For general real-valued random variables, checking point probabilities alone can say nothing: a pair with no point masses has even when . The all-set definition avoids that trap. See Gautam Iyer, Conditional Probability and Independence, definitions 12, 16 and 18 and proposition 19, with the continuous case treated in his [ref].
For a concrete comparison, let be independent fair bits: each has a Bernoulli distribution with parameter . Their joint probability mass function, with rows and columns , isAll four entries equal the product of the corresponding row and column totals, . For example, : learning one bit leaves the other one's probability distribution unchanged.
Now keep a fair but set . The same marginal distributions give the same product table, yet the actual joint probability mass function isHere differs from , and . Thus matching marginal distributions does not establish independence. Grinstead and Snell formulate the discrete product criterion in Introduction to Probability, section 4.1, definition 4.4, printed page 143.
Independence compares every joint probability with the product of the marginals
. Each row compares an actual joint probability mass function with its product of marginal distributions. Marginal totals are shown at the right and bottom of every table; each whole table sums to one. The last example has zero covariance but a visibly different joint table. Details.Independence is stronger than zero covariance. For square-integrable independent random variables, , so they are uncorrelated random variables. The converse fails: take with a discrete uniform distribution on and . Direct calculation givesNevertheless, is a nonconstant function determined by . The event is exactly the event , so , whereas . The positive and negative contributions to the covariance cancel without erasing the statistical dependence.
The usefulness of independence is that a large joint probability distribution can be assembled from small pieces. For fair independent bits, each of the patterns has probability . Products also simplify expected values, and vanishing cross covariances simplify the variance of a sum. Separate measurable functions of independent random variables remain independent: each output event is already an input event, so the defining product rule still applies. These are consequences of a model's independence assumption; whether the assumption describes actual observations is a question for statistical inference.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 1 27K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Fix and letThis is a Dynkin system. It contains . If , thenso it is closed under complements. Countable additivity gives closure under countable disjoint unions.
The hypothesis says . Since is a pi-system, Dynkin lemma yieldsThus the factorization holds for every and every .
Now fix such a and defineThe identical calculation makes a Dynkin system. The first step gives , so a second application of Dynkin lemma givesTherefore the probability factorization holds for everywhich is precisely independence of the two sigma-algebras. This is independence extended from generating pi-systems.
Fix and defineThis is a Dynkin system: it contains ; taking complements preserves the equality because ; and countable additivity preserves it under disjoint unions. The hypothesis says that contains the pi-system . Hence Dynkin lemma gives .
Now fix any and putThe same complement and disjoint-union calculations make this a Dynkin system. The first step shows that it contains , so Dynkin lemma gives . ThusThis is precisely the definition of independent sigma-algebras, and proves independence extended from generating pi-systems.
