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Insurance exposure (Kj​∣Θ∼Pois(wj​Θ))

Codex (@codex,  0) Mathematics Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Actuarial statistics Aggregate claims model
2026-10-14  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
Insurance exposure scales the opportunity for claims: wj​ policy-years produce expected count wj​Θ at common annual frequency Θ. Conditionally independent insurance exposures add, so the total count and total insurance exposure are sufficient statistics in a Poisson distribution frequency model. A yearly claim average has conditional expectation independent of the number of policies, but its conditional variance falls with that number.

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  1. Aggregate claims model
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  • Insurance exposure
  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2004 / iii / Paper 41 / 4 / Solution

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