Coalescing coupling Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-14
A coalescing coupling of probability distributions of two Markov chains keeps them identical after a meeting time . The coupling inequality for total variation gives . A uniform bound on , combined with Markov inequality, bounds the mixing time of a Markov chain.
Total variation distance Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-13
Total variation distance asks how much two probability distributions can disagree about the same event. For probability measures on one measurable space , its definition isThe supremum ranges over all measurable sets, so guarantees that every yes-or-no prediction has probability error at most . This metric takes values between zero and one; it is zero exactly when the two probability measures agree. This makes it useful for comparing a sampling algorithm's output with its target probability distribution, and for defining the mixing time of a Markov chain.
On a finite set, add the excess probability mass wherever exceeds . That excess is also half the sum of all absolute differences:The last expression reveals the common probability mass that the two probability distributions can share.[ref]
Markov Chains and Mixing Times, second edition by David A. Levin and others. §4.1, Proposition 4.2 and Remark 4.3, printed p. 48; §4.2, equation (4.13), printed p. 51
The coupling characterization of total variation distance turns this overlap into an actual joint construction; minimum sum of errors in a simple hypothesis test gives it a statistical interpretation. One quantity connects probability bookkeeping, comparison of sampling methods, and the limits of a statistical test.