The error indicator is a Bernoulli random variable with probabilities and . Its Shannon entropy is therefore the binary entropyUse , so this expression also covers error probabilities zero and one.
Apply the definitions of conditional entropy and insert :Inserting instead gives the alternative chain rule for conditional entropyBoth are expansions of the same joint conditional uncertainty, with the variables exposed in opposite orders.
Because is determined by , its conditional entropy satisfies . Equate the two forms of the chain rule for conditional entropy to obtainConditioning cannot increase classical Shannon entropy: by nonnegativity of mutual information. Thus . When , the value of is exactly and . When and , the value is excluded, leaving at most possibilities. By maximum entropy on a finite alphabet,Averaging the two conditional cases now yieldsand consequentlyThis is Fano's inequality via an error indicator. Events of zero probability contribute zero to the average and need no conditional distribution. For , the inference is automatically correct and the entropy is zero; the displayed logarithmic form is intended for . Optimality of the guess is not needed for the inequality: it holds for every deterministic .
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