Past exam of the probability, measure and martingales course of the University of Oxford / 2023 / 1 / d / ii / Solution

Both $X_n$ and $A_n$ are increasing, so each has a limit of a sequence in $[0,\infty ]$. Apply part (c)(ii) to the martingale $M_n=X_n-A_n$, whose bounded increments were verified in part (i).

On $\{X_{\infty }<\infty ,A_{\infty }=\infty \}$ we would have $M_n\to -\infty$. On $\{X_{\infty }=\infty ,A_{\infty }<\infty \}$ we would have $M_n\to +\infty$. Both events have probability zero by the convergence-or-oscillation conclusion. Hence the two divergence events agree up to a null set. Since $X_{\infty }=\infty$ means precisely that infinitely many $B_n$ occur,Taking probabilities proves the displayed equality in the question. This stronger agreement of events is the Conditional Borel-Cantelli lemma.