Past exam of the short options paper of the physics Prelims of the University of Oxford / 2019 / S3 / 3 / e / Solution

The two probabilities concern different quantum measurements, so there is no requirement that they match or that one bound the other. The spatial interval $[0,L/3]$ contains little of the state: its probability density is smallest near zero and increases towards $L$. By contrast, the positive ground state extends across the whole well. It has substantial same-sign overlap with the positive linear wavefunction, with no cancellation between lobes in the overlap integral. The right panel of the figure in solution illustrates these two amplitudes and marks the small position interval.

Consequently a large global ground-state probability can coexist with a small probability of finding the particle in the left third. This is not because the ground state is spatially confined to that third; a ground-state particle can be found throughout the well. In operator language the two events are projections onto a spatial subspace and onto one energy eigenstate, respectively.