Radiative-convective climate column 2026-10-18
A radiative-convective climate column applies a radiative-convective equilibrium model to the vertical thermal structure relevant to climate change. Radiative transfer determines heating and cooling; convective adjustment represents unresolved vertical redistribution when the chosen atmospheric lapse rate is too steep. Radiative equilibrium alone need not give a physically admissible lower-atmospheric profile.
In 1967, Syukuro Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald computed equilibrium with prescribed relative humidity, allowing atmospheric water vapor to change with temperature. Their average-cloud case warmed by for carbon dioxide increasing from 300 to 600 parts per million, versus with fixed absolute humidity. These are model outputs, not measured warming. The comparison isolates an important water-vapor feedback.[ref]
Thermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere with a Given Distribution of Relative Humidity by Syukuro Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald. Manabe and Wetherald, 1967, abstract; Section 4b, Table 5 and Fig. 16
An original two-temperature calculation exposes the bookkeeping. Let an opaque surface absorb solar irradiance and emit blackbody thermal radiation . A single isothermal atmospheric layer transmits all sunlight and absorbs a fraction of surface infrared emission, emitting both upward and downward. This is a grey thermal-band emissivity, with . Let be upward nonradiative heat flux, and let be heat capacities per unit area. Then conservation of energy givesThe two equations sum toHere is outgoing longwave radiation. Both and downward atmospheric emission cancel internally: they redistribute energy without creating it. The factor two in atmospheric emission counts two faces. Dropping the downward face would spoil the surface budget. Each right-hand term has units ; each has units .
Choose , and . At equilibrium, and , giving and . Direct substitution gives surface balance and atmospheric balance . These deliberately chosen fluxes illustrate the model; they are not an observed global budget or a reconstruction of the 1967 calculation. Prescribing illustrates heat transfer accounting but does not close a realistic convection law.
For fixed , the positive-temperature equilibrium is locally stable. Put and . The Jacobian matrix of the temperature equations has trace and determinant . Thus both eigenvalues have negative real part. Temperature-dependent climate feedbacks alter this test. A single grey layer also omits the optical spectrum, cloud structure and the independent thermal behavior of the troposphere and stratosphere.
