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A climate model is a mathematical description of the mechanisms and statistics of a planet's climate change and variability. A useful hierarchy starts with conservation of energy in a zero-dimensional planetary energy balance, adds vertical radiative transfer and convection in a radiative-convective climate column, and can resolve three-dimensional fluid mechanics and ocean circulation. Each level answers different questions. A column can explain why changing an absorber changes surface temperature; it cannot locate tomorrow's storm.

Three questions should be kept distinct: what sets an average temperature, how fast does it respond to radiative forcing, and how large are its unforced fluctuations? Climate sensitivity concerns the first, heat capacity controls response times, and the Hasselmann stochastic climate model illustrates the third. An observational test must compare a predicted observable with an instrument's actual readout, as in the satellite test of greenhouse spectral change.

A satellite test of greenhouse spectral change compares outgoing radiance with radiative transfer predictions. The 2001 study compared IRIS on Nimbus 4 (1970) and IMG on ADEOS (1997). Matching April–June ocean regions, masking land, screening clouds and correcting resolution and wavenumber controlled comparability. Spectral radiance became brightness temperature readouts. Regional comparisons and independent calculations tested interpretation. Carbon dioxide and methane features supported changed absorption; residual clouds, calibration and interannual variability limited background inference.^[ref]

This observational comparison tests radiative transfer; it does not by itself measure equilibrium climate sensitivity or validate a complete climate model.

To understand the readout, write an instrument's spectral channel schematically asHere $I$ is spectral radiance in the viewing direction $\hat{\mathbf{n}}$, $K_j$ is a normalized channel response, $b_j$ is calibration offset and $e_j$ is random error. Subtracting two channel readings isolates an atmospheric difference only after their response functions and sampling are comparable. Matching kernels reduces a false difference caused merely by observing a narrow spectral line at different resolutions; it cannot remove every calibration offset.

Outgoing longwave radiation in an energy budget also integrates radiance over upward directions and over the thermal spectrum, with the appropriate projected-angle factor. A brightness temperature converts one spectral radiance to the equivalent blackbody value through Planck's law; it is not automatically surface temperature. This explains why a spectral difference, a broadband radiative flux difference and surface warming are related observables with different units and different inferences.