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Scale increments for a birth-death chain (wk+1​=(qk​/pk​)wk​)

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Probability theory Markov process Markov chain Birth-death chain
2026-10-14  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
The interior equation for a harmonic function for a Markov chain on the integers gives pk​(h(k+1)−h(k))=qk​(h(k)−h(k−1)). Positive scale increments satisfy wk+1​=(qk​/pk​)wk​. For absorbing boundaries L<U, the lower exit probability from x is
∑j=L+1U​wj​∑j=x+1U​wj​​.
(1)
This satisfies the harmonic equation and the boundary values and therefore is the hitting probability. For parity-dependent probabilities, wj+2​=ρwj​ with ρ=q0​q1​/(p0​p1​); geometric sums distinguish rightward, balanced and leftward escape.
// Target: markov-process.bigb

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  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2001 / iii / Paper 21 / 2 / Solution

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