SN 1987A neutrino burst

The original Kamiokande paper reported a low-energy event cluster on 23 February 1987 above surrounding background. Inverse beta decay, ${\bar{\nu }}_e+p⟶e^{+}+n$, provides an electron antineutrino channel through Positron light. Neutrino-Electron elastic scattering is more directional. The burst supported core-collapse supernova neutrino emission, with limited statistics and channel ambiguity.^[ref]

An original counting illustration shows why timing matters. Suppose an independently measured background is a Poisson process of rate $b$. In a prespecified window $\Delta t$, the probability of at least two background events isFor the synthetic choice $b\Delta t=0.1$, this is about $0.004679$, obtained by subtracting the zero- and one-event probabilities of the Poisson distribution. The Homestake experiment's delayed extraction cannot supply such capture-time clustering. This calculation is not a significance estimate for SN 1987A: searching many possible windows, varying acceptance and correlated backgrounds change the inference.