Write for all inputs except . Under the Efron–Stein inequality hypotheses, variance tensorization is the equivalent conditional variance formConditioning freezes the other inputs. Then are independent with the same conditional probability distribution, givingTaking expected values explains the factor .[ref]
Lecture 7a: Efron Stein inequality by Purnamrita Sarkar. Lecture 7a: Efron Stein inequality, slides 2 and 7, PDF pp. 3 and 8: conditional variances and the independent-copy identity
For Bernoulli input with parameter , let be the value of with coordinate set to one minus its value with that coordinate set to zero, keeping fixed. The two-point conditional variance isFor the maximum example, and . The two averaged conditional variances are and , precisely half the respective resampling terms. In the dependent example , each other coordinate already determines , so both conditional variances vanish; variance tensorization also fails without independence.
For a short induction proof, separate the last input using the law of total variance. Apply the smaller-dimensional statement to the conditional expectation; Jensen's inequality for the square bounds its coordinate contributions by the original ones. One input gives equality, starting the induction.[ref]
Lecture 7a: Efron Stein inequality by Purnamrita Sarkar. Lecture 7a: Efron Stein inequality, slides 3–6, PDF pp. 4–7: variance decomposition and conditional Jensen step; the induction outline here reorganizes those ingredients
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